realiteabites ICE Age Meltdown

[BigBrotherHBIC]

It's DE night this week and the house as well as LF’s have been confident Cody will leave.  Is there any chance Cody can survive? Up until last night I would have said there's zero possibility Cody isn't voted out. The beauty of this game is that at times the smallest thing can change the entire trajectory of the game. We all know that in this game the smallest move to make someone mad (accidental or purposefully).  One innocuous event can make the house change on a dime. Late night's antics just may be the moment BB fans have been pleading for all season.

 

Paul has been playing the dominant game and no one can deny by far the best game so far. It's not pretty.  His game strategy certainly isn't going to maki him a fan favorite this season nor many of his 'allies'.  There is certainly an argument to be be made that there's plenty of bad players making it easy for him. Buckle up though! Last night in the wheeeeeeee hours of the morning Elena makes a petty move against the pettiest girl in the house. I mean we’ve watched Alex throw on her tutu all summer and gaslight the most ridiculous spiraling chaos over absolutely nothing for no other reason than this HG just loves chaos.  If you haven't watched last night's late night feeds then it's important for you to know that Elena’s decision to directly take a shot at Alex is sure to have Alex go full tutu mode today heading into the live show.  At 1:39 am Elena leaves Mark in the BA and heads do the kitchen to dump out all the ice in the freezer.  Elena has decided, like Alex, she is going to be petty just for the sake of being petty. So how is ice going to lead to a huge explosion on a live show day you ask? If you don't have the LF you don't realize that Alex has an obsession with ice. I've sat and watched her literally fill her pockets with ice at 5 am when the bugle sounded and she had to go set up camp and look hot dogs.  Alex is  methodical about refilling the trays and like her food she is one to be very obsessive compulsive when it comes to having ice at the ready any time she reaches in the freezer.  Let's not forget there's been hug blow ups over her coke being dumped out (by Raven but blamed on Jess), her things being eaten or drank from her HOH basket and most recently started an absurd fight with Cody over him eating her entire box of Chex cereal after she had just told him he could have it she didn't want it.  She wasn't even really mad about the cereal she just wanted to start a fight for the sake of starting a fight.  For those without feeds I've watched Alex tell HG she once but a waitress' arm at a restaurant when she reached for Alex's plate.  It was so severe she was banned from going back.  This chick is more territorial over her food than Kris Jenner is over her kids.

 

The only thing that makes watching Elena poor out the ice so OTT is that Alex is standing in the HOH watching her do it!  (1:39 am) If you have the feeds go FB on quad view and watch the entire event unfold. Alex is standing in the HOH watching Elena dump the ice on the spy cam and you can see the cartoon like smoke coming out of Alex’s ears! I made sure to clear my day for feeds watch today because we can expect full tutu mode from Alex! The irony of it all is that while Alex will make this into a federal offense just 20 min earlier Alex pours the sugar into a baggy and replaces the sugar with salt. Like the rest of the season Alex will see what she’s doing as funny and justifiable prank and Elena dumping the ice as a targeted act of war on her. 

 

The good news for fans is this could actually be one of those random moments that results in an exciting change in tonight's outcome. While it's still more likely Cody can go…for the first time all week there's a small chance Elena just saved Cody! As most of us know Alex has been livid that Elena left Alex with a punishment during the Veto this week. As we saw last night Elena struck a deal with Alex that they wouldn't punish each other. Elena goes back on the deal, takes the $5k and Alex is left with camp guide punishment all week. It was great watching Cody set Elena up encouraging her to take the 5k and while it didn't prevent him from hitting the block it was a strategic move I was thrilled to see him make. I've not been a Cody fan and don't have sympathy for his downfall because the reality is it was his own horrible game play that put him in the hot seat all season. However, all I've wanted is to see him actually play the game versus punching his victim noises sound board for 7 weeks! He didn't disappoint when Jess finally exits! My hope was that us seeing Cody in the house playing without Jess anchoring him down would allow him to actually clear the mist and show us he can play the game! 

 

Now let me say this…Alex was just as responsible for her punishment as Elena. Alex

could have taken the Veto from Matt and left Matt with the punishment. It's actually what she should have done. Alex also could have snatched the vacation from Mark. Instead Alex chooses to hold onto a punishment when she didn't have to. This became a catalyst for Alex to widen the target on Elena and Elena walked right into it. My first thought as I heard what happened on feeds was that Cody set Elena up! That's exactly what we hear Cody admit. Elena was foolish no matter how painful it's been to watch Paul/Alex and the minions behave the last three weeks from a game perspective Elena made a terrible ‘game’ move. I get it, why not take $5k, she's a target at the top of the pecking order, Cody was a bigger one….blah blah blah. The bottom line you're playing a game and every single move counts. Elena didn't check the Vanessa guidelines to making decisions in the game. I would have certainly considered what's Cody’s in incentives for telling me to take the money.  

 

Now back to the bigger news. All week we've seen zero chance of Cody surviving this week. Even with the horrible game move by Elena to snatch the $5k going back on her word in front of the entire house. Even more importantly against the most petty antagonistic player in the game who happens to also be HOH. However, last night's ice queen move by Elena has at least shifted the percentage that Alex could be mad enough to send the house into complete chaos and give Cody a 10% chance of staying in the house. For Paul this little tit for tat dynamic is real trouble. He is becoming more and more vulnerable as things continue to blow up.  I've also seen him lying so much over the last few weeks he's forgetting what he has and hasn't said to people and begin to make some errors that do have HG realizing Paul is controlling way too much of this game.  In the last two weeks we've seen Xmas/Josh, Jason/Kevin, Kevin/Cody, Mark/Jason, Mark/Elena, Josh/Jason all having conversations about Paul which had not happened very often early in the game and when someone like Dom did begin to put pieces together Paul was able to sniff it out quickly and extinguish the smoke before there was fire by sending them out the door.  The problem with lying and manipulating so much is that the truth is a lot easier to remember.  Paul has been tying so many nots in so many directions all at the same time he doesn't know where he began and where the end of the rope is anymore. 

 

Paul is aware that as the numbers begin to dwindle and his name keeps being brought up as players are voted out each week that he is actually becoming a front line target earlier than he anticipated.  So much so that's he now spent a good portion of the week moving Kevin up on the hit list. The fact of the matter is Kevin is now a huge liability for Paul because one little spec of dust from Kevin could send the house spiraling with a well timed slip by Kevin who knows where all the bodies are buried. Kevin began branching out a week ago and Jason of course spills the tea. Paul knows that the longer Kevin stays the more likely Kevin can let something slip that Paul can't trouble shoot. This is BB and the right thing happening, at just the right moment, in front of the right people can flip the house upside down. It happens every season and in order for Paul to prevent this Kevin now has to be made into a victim of Paul’s control of the game. Sadly, I can see Kevin going out on the DE because Paul needs to cur Kev off before he can spill all his dirty little secrets. 

 

So what can we hope for today? Alex blows up and this could (by even the slightest of odds) be the one shot that Elena goes tonight instead of Cody. Alex is almost guaranteed to go full tutu battle mode over the ice. Jason, Josh, Alex all want Elena out (more than Cody) and this could be the deep freeze that results in a major crack in the game!  Wouldn't it be amazing if ice actually ends up being what saves the ice man on DE night? It's early and HG's are just beginning to stir and the longer I see Alex hold off telling Paul about what happened with the ice the better the odds are that she will continue to build up steam and explode without time for Paul to extinguish the flames.

 

While I wouldn't advise getting your hopes up too much…this is the first time all week I can see a clear path for Cody to survive the first eviction tonight. If that happens…just imagine Cody winning DE HOH and we could have a huge dominant player go out! I like a 10% chance over zero! This is BB and it only takes one small thing to change the entire game. Considering how petty and ridiculous the power group in the game has been the last 3 weeks the universe could actually repay them with one of the greatest upsets in BB history all over ice! The RealiTea is I may enjoy a nice pitcher of iced tea today and watch closely as Alex potentially undoes all the knots Paul has spent the entire season tying up his leashes on every other player in the house!