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Stephen Fishbach - (12th voted out)

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Stephen Fishbach

survivor31_cast_1080x810_stephenfishbach

 

Name: Stephen Fishbach

Season 18

Survivor: Tocantins

Current Age: 36

Hometown: New York, NY

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Cannot wait for next week and the forming of a third tribe.  This can only help my guy Fishback.  Hope he makes the most of it.

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I think the 3 tribe change will be very interesting

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Analysis of Stephen Fishbach (original Bayon Tribe).

Following Episode 1: From scenes in which he appeared, Stephen Fishbach appears to be in trouble. He did not seem to find his place within his tribe, and the perception of him as a schemer might prevent anyone from working with him. I am not sure how he will manage his way out of that dilemma. A swap/split/merge that spares his head from the chopping block and allows him to exploit fractures on the other tribe might be his only way to last a while in the game.

Following Episode 2: Even if Stephen Fishbach benefits from a shakeup (which appears to be coming based upon scenes from the next episode), he is not long in this game for the same reasons why Shirin was eliminated. What this episode clearly demonstrated is that the "Old School" players are capable of playing a "New School" game, and they do not want to play with people who only want to play a scheming game without social gentility. Fishbach sealed his fate on his current tribe by showing lack of awareness for Jeremy's personal feelings in favor of tagging him as a fellow schemer looking for the hidden immunity idol. Like Shirin, this is a leopard that cannot change its spots, and any new tribemates will probably observe this in him as well.

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I have to disagree with your comparison of Stephen to Shirin.  Shirin's faux pas was acting like a mean girl and feeling too secure in her tribe.  Stephen is pretty much the opposite of that.

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he seems a bit socially awkward and that might be misread by his tribe mates - no real feeling about him one way or the other, but if he doesn't start making connections with his tribe soon, he will be gone -

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This guy is so socially awkward and he really doesn't help his case. I think he relates to Spencer most in that they really are clueless when it comes to connecting with other people. At least Spencer is trying now, but even watching him in action tonight, was rough.

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He is just weird

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Analysis of Stephen Fishbach (Bayon Tribe, original Bayon)

Following Episode 3: Like Spencer, Fishbach received a reprieve from being at the bottom, as the original Bayon members in his new tribe will use his allegiance to protect themselves rather than vote him out as I imagine they had designs on doing. Nonetheless, Fishbach has already proven to be untrustworthy and compassionless, and it is really just a matter of whether he will be voted out of a minority alliance or kept all the way to the final tribal council where he would once again receive no votes.

Following Episode 4: Again like Spencer, Fishbach will try his best to form social bonds with his tribemates. His ulterior motives may not be as apparent to his tribemates as Spencer's. Nonetheless, he must show a willingness to work with personalities he might not enjoy, such as Kimmi's and Monica's. The preview scenes from the next episode seemed to suggest in-fighting amongst the women of his tribe, so that might keep the heat off him for a while.

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" . . . Fischback has already proven to be untrustworthy . . ."

 

To whom?  No one talks to him.

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I'm a big Fishback supporter and even I was surprised there was no discussion of voting him out after he scored a point for the opposing team.  Maybe there is a case to be made for posing no threat at all to anyone.

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Stephen Fishbach (Bayon after 2nd swap, Bayon after 1st swap, original Bayon)

Following Episodes 5 and 6: Stephen has one of the more memorable scenes of the season when he very emotionally discussed the necessity of making a major move like voting out the very popular Joe before he gains too much power and it is too late. He clearly does not want to make that mistake again. Fortunately for him, he has rebuilt trust with his tribemates after some poorly timed words early on. Unfortunately for him, Jeremy appears more likeable to his tribemates than him. So Stephen's agenda might be a tougher sell to his alliance, and he cannot push it too hard.

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Stephen Fishbach (original Bayon, Bayon after 1st swap, Bayon after 2nd swap)

Following Episode 7 (the merge): Fishbach led the charge to eliminate Kass for the reasons why he would eliminate himself if he were playing against himself. In a way, he bulldozed Savage's suggestion of targeting Ciera, which may cause a rift in the original Bayon majority alliance. If Fishbach's ultimate goal of eliminating Joe sooner rather than later comes to light, I am sure Savage will not take kindly to that. Much like Spencer, Fishbach must continue to dial back his hyper-strategizing and pick his moments wisely the way that Savage ultimately conceded that Kass should be targeted first. For the same reasons why Kass was targeted ahead of Ciera, Fishbach will be targeted ahead of Jeremy (his tribemate from Day 1). There is something to be said for relationships which have lasted the longest in the game. Now that Kass has been eliminated, the only castaways who have spent every day at the same camp are Fishbach, Jeremy, and Kimmi (with Bayon), separately Spencer and Kelly Wiglesworth (with Ta Keo/new Bayon/new Ta Keo), and separately Joe and Keith (with Bayon/new Ta Keo/new Bayon). Since there is no perceived alliance between Spencer and Wiglesworth and since Joe and Keith have avoided drama (since they had not gone to tribal council), the remaining castaways will want to break up the Fishbach, Jeremy, and Kimmi alliance as soon as possible, and Fishbach is the natural first target.

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Following Episode 8: Stephen Fishbach is in trouble. Jeremy had to talk his alliance off the ledge about voting against one of their own, and that move ultimately backfired, as it led to Andrew Savage's elimination. So there is a lot of resentment toward Fishbach on top of how he is already perceived as someone who could stir the pot a little too much. Fishbach was correct in sharing his fears about Joe, yet he should have gauged his tribe a little better and not share those thoughts with Tasha, as she was bound to tell Savage, who overheard that conversation anyway. Fishbach will eventually need to gather a voting block against Joe, Keith, and Tasha, and the numbers do not appear favorable for doing that. Fishbach needs to trust Jeremy a lot more than Jeremy or anyone else needs or ought to trust him, certainly not an enviable position.

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Wow, Stephen beat Spencer in a swimming race.  Has anyone checked the temperature of hell today?

 

Having an advantage in the game is great.  The rest of the tribe KNOWING you have an advantage in the game is not so great.  Tread carefully Stephen!!

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Following Episode 9: As explained under Spencer, it was a smart strategic move for Fishbach to switch alliances and vote with the three women he labeled the "witches' coven." He certainly would have been a leading candidate for the first elimination among the eight in the previous majority following the elimination of the three "witches." So he moved up from no worse than eighth place to no worse than sixth, and he obtained a few more unlikeable candidates for fellow finalists in the process. He also obtained an advantage for a future tribal council vote -- the ability to steal a vote from a tribemate and cast a second vote in place of it. This certainly appears to be a very powerful advantage. However, he must use it in a way that does not endanger a vote that could be in his favor at the final tribal council. He should use it against the person he intends to eliminate at that vote, and it should be someone who he knows already would not vote for him as the Sole Survivor under any circumstance.

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Following Episodes 10 and 11: Like Ciera in the previous vote, Stephen was going to be targeted for his strong gameplay. His failure was not reading his tribe well enough to know that they were not genuinely on board with voting off Joe. Even worse than that, he poorly used his advantage of stealing a vote from a tribemate and casting a second vote in its place, as he voted for two different castaways instead of voting twice for one. This essentially diluted the power the advantage was intended to give him. Hindsight shows if he cast a second vote against Abi-Maria, he would have at worst finished in a tie, although the tie-breaking vote probably would not have gone in his favor. (Jeremy, Tasha, and Kimmi would have voted for Abi-Maria, while Joe, Keith, Spencer, and Kelley Wentworth would have voted for Stephen, although it would have been interesting to see if the advantage that Stephen played also applied to tie-breaking votes as well.) The plan of splitting votes in case of an idol was also flawed, as a united front against Joe, even without Spencer's vote, would have resulted in a 5-4 decision against Joe. Stephen's downfall was too many unnecessary contingency plans, not to mention how his ultra-competitive strategizing revealed him to be a threat.

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Following Season Finale: There was no doubt that Stephen was casting his vote for Sole Survivor to Jeremy, as Jeremy had displayed the ultimate sign of loyalty by protecting him with an idol during a vote that would have eliminated him. At least he asked a relatively meaningful question about perceptions each of the finalists carried with them. Even still, it bolstered Jeremy's candidacy, as his perception was closest to reality and the least messy with regard to broken trust and disloyalty.

- http://t.co/U8dgCfNiOj

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